19 published preprints.
Liam O'Connor, Sofia Reyes, Priya Nair
Climate adaptation finance is expanding rapidly, yet its allocation frequently diverges from where vulnerability is most acute. We analyse adaptation funding flows across thirty countries to assess the alignment between allocation criteria…
Read preprint →Amara Okeke, Priya Nair
Excessive groundwater extraction drives land subsidence that compounds relative sea-level rise across low-lying, rapidly urbanising deltas. Combining satellite geodesy with piezometric records, we map subsidence rates and attribute them to…
Read preprint →Sofia Reyes, Mei Tanaka
The Southern Ocean sustains some of the most extensive and least understood cloud cover on Earth, and persistent model biases in this region limit confidence in climate projections. Using in-situ measurements from a research cruise, we char…
Read preprint →Henrik Vasquez, Liam O'Connor
Subsurface fluid injection can reactivate pre-existing faults and induce seismicity, posing a persistent challenge for subsurface energy operations. We couple geomechanical modelling with in-situ basin stress observations to evaluate fault-…
Read preprint →Priya Nair, Henrik Vasquez
Dynamical downscaling delivers detailed regional climate information but at prohibitive computational expense. We develop a deep-learning emulator, trained on a limited ensemble of high-resolution regional simulations, that reproduces preci…
Read preprint →Mei Tanaka, Amara Okeke, Sofia Reyes
Recurrent marine heatwaves are restructuring coral reef ecosystems more rapidly than recovery can proceed. Synthesising five years of survey data along a thermal-stress gradient, we document a directional shift toward heat-tolerant but stru…
Read preprint →Henrik Vasquez, Priya Nair
Carbonate weathering both consumes and releases carbon dioxide depending on timescale and hydrological conditions, complicating its representation in regional carbon budgets. Using paired high-frequency discharge and alkalinity measurements…
Read preprint →Liam O'Connor, Amara Okeke
Rainfall-triggered landslides pose an escalating threat to mountain communities as extreme precipitation intensifies. We integrate a multi-decadal inventory of slope failures with statistically downscaled rainfall projections to map evolvin…
Read preprint →Priya Nair, Sofia Reyes
Thawing permafrost represents one of the largest and least constrained feedbacks in the global carbon cycle. We combine controlled incubation experiments with in-situ flux measurements along a natural thaw gradient to partition carbon relea…
Read preprint →Mei Tanaka, Henrik Vasquez
Forecasting eruptions at persistently active volcanoes requires robust links between surface deformation and subsurface magmatic processes. We analyse a multi-year interferometric synthetic-aperture radar time series spanning two eruptive e…
Read preprint →Sofia Reyes, Henrik Vasquez
Nutrient export from agricultural catchments varies sharply with hydrological state, complicating efforts to manage downstream water quality. Using high-frequency in-stream chemistry, we demonstrate that nitrate export is governed by the ac…
Read preprint →Amara Okeke, Priya Nair, Liam O'Connor
Accurate monitoring of coastal wetland extent is hindered by gradual, sub-pixel land-cover transitions that conventional classification methods fail to capture. We train a convolutional segmentation model to map wetland extent across four d…
Read preprint →